2014 and Analytics – Web Journal – January 13, 2014

First, there is a new post in the Convergence Analytics section of ClickZ called Convergence and Info-Literacy in 2014, have a look when you get a chance.

This is a short post – finally have a few minutes to relax (but just a few- ha!)

Analytics Training

  • Second, I have been non stop since Christmas, updating my Social Media for the Arts course at Rutgers University - logging over 80 hours of time in the last two weeks – but now, I’m done!  The nature of this updating is so intensive that I find myself unable to write much outside of it while I’m doing it.

And that’s not the end of it – stepping back and trying to look at what is ahead, this year does indeed look as if data and analytics capabilities are converging and I’m seeing it in not only the industry, but in my students as well.

2014 so far…

  • I got a Pebble for Christmas  - likely to play with it a bit more .


I imagine I’ll have a few posts out shortly – now that I can finally clear my head – ha!

My 2014 Predictions – Marshall Sponder, WebMetricsGuru INC.



2014 Predictions

After a presentation at the Brands Only conference last week in Orlando, FL,  I begun to think about the savings and production gains shifts caused by newer technologies and visualized a “gap” between the easy understanding of data and the efforts to get to that.   In the past, that gap often made it very hard to get meaningful realizations from the data, but I predict in this new year of 2014, that gap will narrow, quite significantly, particularly, but not limited to, the areas around Social Data.
It makes sense that the “gap”, as I call it, is the main problem in Analytics, today.  Many of my friends work in Analytics roles where it’s basically a 14 hour day – 6 to 7 days a week (at time).  Data is one aspect of the puzzle, but the other is “how much work” is it going to take to make the data useful?
Also, how many people are there that are involved in using the data?
Basically, the more of a “gap” there is between easy applying of knowledge and the raw data, the more work intensive your role will be, your work will be.  In many industries and roles – the “gap” wasn’t well understood, it wasn’t clear that it isn’t just what you bring to the table, it’s what is on the table to begin with and who is sitting with you at that table.
Unless the gap was small the work you have will always be much more than you thought it would be – I usually come up with an estimate of time and then add a “0″ after it – the modified time estimate is usually much closer to the real-time it takes to “close the gap”. In 2014, the gap between Social Data and Return on Investment gets a bit smaller – and that is what we’ll mainly remember about the year (along with any memorable events that happen).
I thought that I would collect a lot of the ideas that impressed me this year and put my own spin on them.  My predictions aren’t as comprehensive as I would like them to be – I don’t yet run an Analyst Firm where I can run my ideas in roundtable format – it’s something I’d like to do more and be part of more next year.
On the rate of change in 2014
Robert Stevenson asserts, “The doubling speed of knowledge is now between one and two years.” This implies that when this year’s incoming college freshmen graduate, knowledge will have quadrupled. ( see - http://www.forbes.com/sites/markhendrickson/2013/07/04/technology-may-spur-10-career-changes-for-todays-youth-are-we-ready/).  We know that  Mobile Analytics and Marketing Automation are the hottest marketing skills in 2014 and I’m seeing a number of courses spring up in various universities to meet the growing need of business on one hand, a students that need jobs on the other.  ( see  http://thefuturebuzz.com/2013/12/04/analytics-most-desirable-skill-and-largest-talent-gap-for-2014/ for more information).
Privacy continues to grow as a polarizing issue in 2014
One of the casualties of our rapid increase of both knowledge and data is our privacy.  In 2014 the telling “white lies” will become a bit harder than it already is because there is more data and it is becoming easier to uncover – the biggest threat from the internet of things isn’t Big Brother, it’s the death of the social lie (see http://gigaom.com/2013/11/27/forget-about-the-nsa-for-a-minute-the-internet-of-things-could-kill-the-little-white-lie/ to get more details on online privacy and the death of the white lie).
Sure,  you’re running late because you were watching the last few minutes of Scandal but you tell your husband there was traffic. Or you tell your kids that your husband ate the last bit of ice cream and the entire box of Oreos, when it was you. Maybe you tell your husband that you’re at home, when in reality you’re out doing holiday shopping.
As we connect more devices and add sensors to more places these lies will become harder to preserve. The challenges will be threefold:  collecting data in more places like the cabinets in our homes; the data collection is passive as opposed to active sharing; and we don’t yet have clear rules about what is allowed with this data and what isn’t.
Wearable Technology/Computing will begin to roll out and mark changes in public behavior and a rise in Personalized Intelligence Devices by the end of 2014:
Wearable technology will be big in 2014.   When the $1500 wearable computer arrives the world will fundamentally change for better or worse. (http://www.searchenginejournal.com/google-glass-4-products-prove-2014-will-year-wearable-tech/68315/).  The next set of devices released on to the market  with have more powerful microchips  that begin to create personalized intelligence within your devices, in 2014. In fact, Intel’s Atom processor E3800 and the Quark SoC X1000 are the next set of low-power, small-core chips that will be built into devices and sensors that don’t require Intel’s traditionally beefy chip horsepower, such as thermostats and lighting fixtures, or devices used in industrial settings such as transportation or energy sectors (http://allthingsd.com/20131008/with-new-chips-intel-aims-for-the-internet-of-things/). (http://gigaom.com/2013/11/05/google-wants-to-build-maps-that-customize-themselves-based-on-what-they-know-about-you/).
In 2014 we’ll see new examples of merging of people with machines. Start with the world premiere of Toyota’s FV2 concept, which eschews a steering wheel—how 20th century—in favor of a vehicle system that responds to how the driver shifts his or her body. (http://readwrite.com/2013/11/20/tokyo-motor-show-2013). In addition, Google Project Glass (I want to own the next edition in 2014) is going to both invigorate and change what is now still called SEO. Local search is huge and wherever you go, Google Glass populates a list of suggestions based on things that are nearby.
Google Glass is an entirely new screen that can’t be compared with today’s mobile, tablet and desktop screens.(http://www.searchenginejournal.com/optimize-website-google-glass-interview-rob-garner/78823/). The new set of devices that come on the market in 2014 will provide the context of information supplied by the roadway infrastructure, such as approaching intersections, traffic, and accidents.  What we have seen so far in various apps and early devices is just a taste of what is to come.
Apple’s iBeacon technology takes over retail –  whilst most of the coverage of iBeacon so far has failed to recognize a very important reality of this system: every iOS device since the iPhone 4S and iPad 3rd gen is already capable of being either an iBeacon receiver or transmitter, as long as it’s properly configured -and any Apple iPhone 4S and later, or most iPads with Bluetooth Low Energy and the latest major version of iOS can run iBeacon. (http://techcrunch.com/2013/12/07/the-open-secret-of-ibeacon-apple-could-have-250m-units-in-the-wild-by-2014/) – during the holiday season of 2013 we have already been seeing several tests of iBeacon rolling out – within 18 months the retail shopping experience will transform to one objects and displays speak to us with personal information and potential buying choices as we walk past them.
The Media Disruption continues to expand and fan out in 2014:
Large disruption in media delivery continues to accelerate in 2014 with cable companies and networks  losing market share to Netflix, Chromecast, etc.  Disruptors like Aereo have emerged that lets you watch live television broadcasts via the Internet for $8 a month. Broadcasters like CBS and Fox are going to become increasingly concerned about the rise of Aereo. Meanwhile, Aereo has expanded its service to more cities nationwide  and it’s available now in Atlanta, Boston, Detroit, New York, Dallas, Houston, Denver, Miami, Salt Lake City, with plans to soon be in about 20 cities. Aereo works by letting you stream live network TV (ABC, NBC, PBS, Fox, etc.) to your computer, tablet, or smartphone. You can also use it to record shows in a virtual DVR and watch them later.(see more at http://www.businessinsider.com/take-look-at-aereo-live-internet-tv-2013-11).
Cable companies continue to hold a monopoly on the cable Internet market through coaxial cables. But that monopoly is breaking down, because cable providers are bleeding subscribers. Since 2007, cable-cutting households  increased 150 percent. The problem becomes even bigger when you think about what’s to come: more people using more devices in more places. (see http://thenextweb.com/insider/2013/11/23/cable-industry-imploding-providers-must-stay-alive/ to learn more about Cable companies plights).
Artificial Marketing Intelligence:
Artificial Intelligence continues to advance and I predict  Google will release social media robots to update your social media channels for you (once it learns enough about you).  The search giant filed patent plans in 2011 for software that slowly learns how you react on social networks, creates responses for you, and analyzes continuing interaction and flags messages that demand your attention.(http://socialnewsdaily.com/19926/google-patents-social-media-robot-will-tweet-for-you/). In the application, Google describes a way to collect disparate messages from other applications — everything from social networks to email to SMS — and suggest an automatic answer. The idea is to help users make sure they don’t miss a message, and to save them time in responding to others’ “I got a new job” or “I’m having a baby” status updates. (http://gigaom.com/2013/11/30/google-files-for-patent-on-automated-status-updates-to-other-social-networks/).


2014 is the year of the Backlash:
Some say 2014 will mark a backlash in some of the excesses of the last several year.  The clock could be ticking for businesses like Airbnb, Wimdu, 9Flats and HouseTrip as new regulations gradually being introduced in some cities around the world begin to threaten their core business – but the problem is bigger than you would think. (http://thenextweb.com/insider/2013/11/23/clock-ticking-sharing-economy/).
3D Printing:
3D Printing continues to extend to the mainstream – making big inroads in market awareness and penetration in 2014.  Consider that even the UPS is getting into the 3D Printer business.  The franchise retail division of UPS recently announced that it is offering 3D printing capabilities at some of its locations. The idea is being tested first in the San Diego area. The company expects to expand the service elsewhere soon, in 2014. (http://smallbiztrends.com/2013/08/ups-3d-printing.html).
Everything from guns to glasses can be printed up – with glasses, since people’s faces are incredibly diverse, a small change in frames — sometimes, just one millimeter — can lead to a drastically better fit. But mass-produced, store-bought frames don’t offer that customizable flexibility.
A company called Protos Eyewear allows Customers to order frame templates, which are then adjusted to fit individual facial features, or completely customize a design from scratch.  Interested backers send in two pictures of their faces, and Protos’ algorithm alters the frames’ design before sending the information to the 3D printer. the algorithm can rapidly make changes to the 3D models, allowing for more flexibility and less production time. (http://mashable.com/2013/08/10/protos-eyewear-3d-printed/).
In Art, 3D printing is rapidly undermining the concept of the art object itself and next year some famous works of art will be replicated before our eyes.
Take this example - A new 3D printing technique in Europe is threatening the value of the world’s most prized works of art. The proprietary technique is being used by the Van Gogh Museum in Amsterdam, which has partnered with Fujifilm to produce three-dimensional reproductions of Vincent Van Gogh’s masterpieces.
Called “Relievos” by the museum, the replicas are of extremely high quality and will set you back £22,000, or just under $29,000. The museum is planning to sell 260 limited edition copies — all numbered and stamped — for both collectors and educational purposes. The high-tech copies are created through a special 3D technique known as Reliefography, which combines a three-dimensional scan of the painting with a high-resolution print, according to The Guardian .
Basically, the finished product is an extremely realistic copy of the painting down to the brush strokes, frame, and artist’s signature. But because these copies are so exact, it has people wondering if the Relievos could threaten the art market. Izabella Kaminska at FT Alphaville thinks it’s entirely possible, though not as the technology currently exists (subscription required) see (http://www.businessinsider.com/new-technology-could-destroy-art-market-2013-9). Talking about 3D Technology – beyond printing Skype is developing 3D video calls and some 3D calls will take place and roll out now and take off in 2015. (http://thenextweb.com/microsoft/2013/08/29/skype-says-it-is-developing-3d-video-calls-but-it-could-take-many-years-before-it-launches/ really accelerate by 2015).


Analytics 2014:
Analytics is going to be the hottest skill in 2014 – many now believe that Analytics is really the meta-layer of meaning for marketing – and it’s getting harder to see marketing jobs that don’t have Analytics as a key aspect of it. (http://thefuturebuzz.com/2013/12/04/analytics-most-desirable-skill-and-largest-talent-gap-for-2014/). We know that organizations are closing  the gaps on Social Media ROI in 2013 – in 2014 SMROI will jump over 36%. Multichannel Attribution models begin to mature in 2014 and fully mature in 2015.  (http://marketingland.com/google-quietly-testing-offline-store-visits-tracking-64778) According to a report.
Google is currently experimenting with tracking offline store visits, using smartphone location, and trying to connect that back to mobile ad exposures. Google is likely using location in the background (on Android and iOS) and its database of business locations to determine when people visit stores after viewing a mobile ad(s) connected with the store.  Around three-quarters (73%, up from 65% in 2012) indicating  an improvement in conversion rates in the last 12 months (http://econsultancy.com/uk/blog/63688-satisfaction-with-conversion-rates-has-increased-for-the-first-time-in-four-years-new-report).
Final Thoughts about 2014, a year that’s just about to start:
I think 2014 will be a better year for a lot of people, overall, than they have had since the year 2000-many things that were started at the very end of the last century will begin to mature this coming year, and a partial Convergence will emerge as a tangible reality by the end of the year – and will lead to the full Convergence in 2015 and 2016.
Happy Christmas and New Years all – and to a most Wonderful 2014 for us All, and particularly, the World.

Consumer Psychology, Market Research and Web Journal – Late August/Early September 2013

Whew!  When things have been moving quite a bit lately – and posting has been difficult – but there’s a lot to post about – so here goes.

Just read the whole post – I’ll save the best for the end – but don’t jump ahead – take you time.

Note: I ramble on quite  bit here – reading it the next morning – but if you can bear with me, a lot of good information is in the post.  Sorry about the rambling nature of the post – I write in a similar voice to direct informal speaking, though writing presents a way to condense information that often doesn’t happen till after it’s edited (which I generally don’t do with blog posts).

Forgive me for the usual typos that pretty much go along with reading my blog.   Warning: This will be  long post, but written fairly quickly (I hope).

Announcements and Conferences I’ll be attending or speaking at:

So ….. I take it your all coming now – at least, those of around NYC….

      • Here’s  a 15% discount code: SPKRVIP
  • Later next week I’ll be attending (as Press) Social Data Week NYC  at the Mandarin Oriental Hotel – this is pretty exciting and I’ll also be attending with partners from our “WebMetricsGuru Social Intelligence Consortium” – which I haven’t talked much about – but people who are closer to me know a little bit about some of business my consortium touches.

I don’t have any discounts for Social Data Week in NY, but there is a meetup taking place on Wednesday, September 18th where some of the same people will be and that it free.

I’ll be there as well.


Marshall Sponder, Web Analytics & SEO/SEM Specialist

October 23, 2013, 11am PT | 2pm ET
Duration: 1 hour

Marshall Sponder is an independent Web Analytics and SEO/SEM specialist working in the field of market research, social media, networking and PR. He provides digital data convergence generating ROI and develops data metrics, KPI’s and dashboards that drive businesses by setting and evaluating benchmarks. He lately focuses on social media metrics, having worked as a group leader at IBM and Monster, done contract work at Porter Novelli PR, small business, and start-ups. Clients have included various B2B companies, the New York Times, architects, digital ad agencies, and more. He has provided Web tracking and attribution metrics for Gillette, Laughing Cow, and others.

Marshall holds an MA in Media Studies from the NY Institute of Technology and possesses a Certificate of Marketing Management from the Baruch College, a NY Continuing Education Division.

Register for this webinar

- See more at: http://www.netbase.com/news-events/events/social-savvy-webinar-series/#sthash.8Q4HnREG.dpuf

More details coming soon.  I’m honored to be working with Netbase and thrilled to be back there again, a year later from my first talk.  People who know me also know how hard I work on presentations – last year i must have spent 20 hours preparing for what I gave.

Given how many speaking engagements that are coming my way, I’ve had to start speeding it up, focusing while staying true to my own approach and way of doing things.  I won’t disappoint you on October 23rd, so please sign up.

  • Also attending the SEMPO meetup in NYC on October 1st, at the Javits Convention Center.  I haven’t asked for a press pass (yet) but I would not mind going, if I have time (and I might).   I am not fond of the Javits center but I’ll drag myself out for Danny Sullivan and the crew, many whom I know.

Tuesday, October 1 at the Javits Convention Center

    • Michael Brito – I’ve followed Michael but have never met him – he’s a pretty upscale business speaker, so I’ve gathered.
    • The BrandBuilder - Olivier Blanchard (we’ve met virtually before, on Beer Diplomacy maybe 2 years ago – but not in person)
    • Marshall Sponder (moi) – I think “we’ve met” -ha!
    • Silvina Moschini
    • Alberto Arébalos
    • Jesus Cochegrus

    • The Minimalists
    • A bunch of other people I don’t know but soon will

So …. if you’re in Bogotá around that time in late October / beginning of November – drop in as say hello – or attend.


In fact, it looks like I’ll be running across a few “old friends” (a nice way of putting it) which should be fun and interesting, if for no other reason that life draws out situations where you never quite now what the opportunity might be.



Marshall Sponder, WebMetricsGuru: Learn a methodology brands can use to decide their internal readiness for a converged analytics implementation based on data from signals that include their online social presences, team structure, and executive buy-in.   - See more at: http://socialmedia.org/summit/measuring/#sthash.QaZxU1UQ.dpuf

So, that’s quite a lot to chew off in the next 2-3 months and I admit, sometimes I wonder how I’ll do it all – but it’ll get done and done well.

  • I’m also speaking at Waterfire.org in Providence, Rhode Island on November 7th/8th at an “events based conference” around Waterfire – don’t have details on that yet.


  • The first Social Intelligence / Web Analytics MBA class at Baruch College is being taught by moi - and there’s 27 students (so far) in it – I met my students Monday night and they’re SHARP.   I’m impressed – they will definitely get they very best I can deliver to them – and they really are Master Level, so this course is somewhat different in focus and delivery from my Rutgers course.

I’m also inviting speakers and various CEO’s, well-known Analysts, etc, to speak to the class – so if you’re interested and in NYC on a Monday Night this Fall / Winter – and think you have what it takes to speak to my class - tweet me @webmetricsguru and we’ll talk about it.

  • Rutgers Social Media for the Arts - my course – is being offered in 2 sessions – currently both are full at 40 students each –  this is the 5th time I’ve taught the course and it’s becoming pretty popular at Rutgers – its an online course.

Marshall Sponder @Rutgers University – #mgartr13

  • A new offering – “Creating Viral Media” is being created at Rutgers – basically I’m building it now with Unruly Media collateral – so far, it’s coming along nicely – it’s an ambitious project – a course based on “predicting social sharing and viral spread” using “Big Data”.   I’m not building the course alone, but I’m the main architect of it at this point.  We’re all pretty excited about the course – though I don’t have anything I can share at this point – except to say, we hope to be ready to launch it as an online course through the Business School – CMD  - The Center of Management Development at Rutgers – in a few months.   The launch date isn’t set yet.

We believe we have a winner here – and I’m pretty certain we do. It’s going to be the very first course (to my knowledge that uses “Big Data”) to ideate Social Video and other Viral Media – perhaps, and in all likelihood, our course will be the first of its kind in the World.

While I can’t talk about the details of our course yetif you go to Unruly Media’s site and study what they do, their ShareRank algorithm and the Viral Video Chart along with some of Unruly Media’s papers, you’ll get some idea of what is informing our course – but we won’t stop there.

Web Journal: – Whew! Finally, “The Good Stuff“!

  • Lately I’ve been looking at “Google Think Insights” – the new market research site/service that Google launched earlier this year and I’m quite liking it.    In fact, I created a few “infographics” using the research tools that Google Think provides including this one (Google provides a link but doesn’t support embedding the inforgraphics Think Insights generates with your help)- which will go in the new Social Viral Media / Video course we’re building at Rutgers.

What I really like most about “Google Think” isn’t so much the data they have (though it’s impressive) or what it’s on, as much as it’s the approach of building infographics with bits and pieces of information that’s provided.  I think Google could expand the data it offers quite a bit more.

There are also several other planning tools and simulations that Google has provided which I found very useful – and I will be using Google Think more often.

The Dashboard for Market Insights is my favorite – and it’s what I used to generate the infographic – you can build a custom chart but should Google add about 100 times more data than they have now – it would be a killer tool/platform.

Right now – Think Insights doesn’t threaten other Market Research providers, as some suggested in the past – because they haven’t really but provided bits of data about things Google wants to share with us  - but I think they could and should go a lot further with this approach and if they do – they will compete with other offerings.

And tonight (actually yesterday) I was at a fantastic meetup at NYPL and I realized that “Big Data” really is, from one perspective, about freeing up data created for a specific purpose and transforming it to a data source that can have unlimited number of uses (N=number of uses).

  • Essentially, what the New York Public Library did was free up data in maps so it could be used in a number of different ans in some cases, unforeseen ways.  That would suggest the “network effects” model is probably the best suited for social media – and I’ll cover that in my next few public appearances.

One more thing – I’m going to pick up a copy of Thinking Fast- Thinking Slow by David Kahneman who is a Nobel Prize winner in Economics.  The book deals with “Priming” and the effects on behavior – the whole thing is fascinating stuff and I’m going to work that idea into my Netbase talk on October 23rd.


You know, it’s Fashion Week in NYC, but guess what the main trend at Fashion Week is?  Google Project Glass.

Boy – things are moving FAST!
And I end with a challenge I gave my classes – here it is (related to Priming)